Gulf Region Weather Alert: National Hurricane Center forecasts a 10% likelihood of storm formation, potentially affecting Houston.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring a trough of low pressure in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, which currently has a low chance (around 10%) of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours and through the week[1][2][3]. This system is forecast to move westward across the northern Gulf and likely move inland by the weekend, ending any further tropical development[1][2][3].
For the Houston area specifically from Thursday to Saturday, the main impacts would not come from a tropical storm or hurricane, but from heavy rainfall associated with this disturbance. Forecasts indicate that the system could bring about 2-3 inches of rain across much of the northern Gulf Coast[3]. Locally higher rainfall amounts are possible, which might cause isolated flooding in areas where heavy rain lingers[3]. Widespread flash flooding is not expected but cannot be ruled out in isolated pockets of heavy rainfall[3].
Southeast Texas could see some coastal showers on Thursday, but the higher rain chances will be on Friday and Saturday[3]. The National Hurricane Center has a minimal chance for a tropical depression or storm to form in the Gulf by Friday[1][2][3].
It is important to note that even weak, disorganized systems can bring heavy downpours, so residents are encouraged to check back daily for updates on this plume of moisture[1][2][3]. The exact path and intensity of the potential system are still uncertain, so it is crucial to stay informed and prepared for potential changes in forecasts.
This information is based on the latest updates from the National Hurricane Center and the weather team of our website. Residents are advised to take precautions to protect their homes and families, especially in areas prone to flooding, and to stay informed through credible sources.
[1] National Hurricane Center: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ [2] Our Weather Team: https://www.ourweatherwebsite.com/ [3] National Hurricane Center: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gis/graphics_at1+shtml/latest_at1.shtml
- In the forecast, the trough of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico may potentially bring heavy rainfall to Southeast Texas, including areas in and around Houston, from Thursday to Saturday.
- The National Hurricane Center has indicated that there is a minimal chance for a tropical depression or storm to form in the Gulf by Friday, but weak, disorganized systems can still cause heavy downpours.
- As residents prepare for the potential impacts of this system, it's essential to stay informed through credible sources such as the National Hurricane Center and the weather team on our website.
- To protect homes and families, particularly those in flood-prone areas, it's crucial to heed warnings and take necessary precautions, as the exact path and intensity of the potential system are still uncertain due to climate change and environmental factors.
